Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics

League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-04 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-04 07:41 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Boston Celtics / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 62% / Celtics hold dominant 9-game win streak vs Wizards (3-17 record), line movement from -8.5 supports cover despite injuries

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 224.5 at -110 / 58% / 52% money on under, Wizards league-worst offense (avg 106 PPG recent), Celtics solid defense limits scoring

💰 Best Bet #3 Boston Celtics / Moneyline / -450 / 78% / Simulation projects 78% win probability, public/sharp alignment with Wizards depleted by injuries (Sarr, Kispert out)

🏀 Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics on 2025-12-04

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington Wizards | 15% |
| Win % for Boston Celtics | 78% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington Wizards +9.5 | 42% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 224 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 36] |

💸 Public Bets
Celtics 75% / Wizards 25%

💰 Money Distribution
Celtics 67% / Wizards 33%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Moved from -8.5 to -9.5 towards favorite despite moderate public support

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Celtics -9.5; simulation cover rate 58% vs implied 52.4% odds probability

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Celtics on spread aligning with money distribution and line movement indicating sharp support. Follow the public here as metrics confirm value with Wizards’ poor form (3-17) and key injuries (Sarr out, others sidelined). Game projects low-scoring under due to Wizards’ offensive struggles and Celtics’ defensive efficiency.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Boston Celtics — highest probability backed by simulation, market consensus, and matchup dominance.

Highlights unavailable.