NCAAB

Weber State vs Montana

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 9:30 PM ET • 8:30 PM CT • 7:30 PM MT • 6:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:47 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Weber State Wildcats / -2 / -110 / 55% / Simulation cover probability 53% exceeds implied line (52.4%), public/sharp alignment on home favorite with strong home-court edge in Big Sky play

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 152.5 / -110 / 54% / Projected avg total 152.5 aligns with slight under bias from public money (58%) and defensive metrics in conference matchups

💰 Best Bet #3 Weber State Wildcats / -135 / 57% / Implied win prob matched by 57% sim win rate, convergence of market and model supports favorite

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Weber State Wildcats | 57% |
| Win % for Montana Grizzlies | 43% |
| Spread Cover % for Weber State Wildcats | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 152.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 19.4] |

🏀 Weber State Wildcats vs Montana Grizzlies

💸 Public Bets
Weber State 56% / Montana 44%

💰 Money Distribution
Weber State 61% / Montana 39%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable across books at -2

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+1.2% on Weber State -2; sim cover > implied prob with aligned action

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets (56%) and money (61%) converge on Weber State spread, signaling market consensus without RLM against. No key injuries reported; recent form unavailable but sim incorporates home advantage and pace for low-variance edge. Overall scoring outlook leans under with projected total matching line but public under lean (58% money).

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Weber State — sim and alignment confirm highest probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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