NCAAB
West Georgia vs 
Lipscomb
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-25 08:19 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 West Georgia Wolves / +5.5 / -110 / 54%
Simulation projects West Georgia covering at 51%, close to breakeven with slight edge from recent defensive trends allowing value against public lean on Lipscomb.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 56%
Combined recent averages and pace suggest 154.9 total points, favoring Over despite public money skew to Under (59%), creating contrarian value.
💰 Best Bet #3 Lipscomb Bisons / Moneyline / -225 / 60%
Lipscomb’s superior recent scoring (76.7 PPG) and simulation win probability (59%) align with market consensus over heavy public backing.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for West Georgia Wolves | 38.4% |
| Win % for Lipscomb Bisons | 59.2% |
| Spread Cover % for West Georgia Wolves (+5.5) | 51.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55.4% / Under: 44.6% |
| Average Total Points | 154.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-30, 41] |
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
West Georgia Wolves vs Lipscomb Bisons
💸 Public Bets
[49% / 51%]
💰 Money Distribution
[44% / 56%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable based on available tier-1 lines
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Over 152.5 from simulation total projection exceeding public Under bias; marginal +1% EV on West Georgia +5.5 amid money-public split.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets near even on spread but money favors Lipscomb (56%), creating divergence that supports fading the favorite slightly per simulation cover rates. Sharp money alignment on Lipscomb ML with recent form backs following there, while Over exploits public Under skew (59% money) against projected 154.9 average total from offensive averages and pace. Game outlook leans moderately high-scoring given Lipscomb’s away scoring but West Georgia’s home variability.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Lipscomb spread — West Georgia +5.5 holds mathematical probability edge.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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