West Virginia vs Ohio State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:31 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Ohio State / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / Ohio State holds a clear efficiency edge in adjusted offensive and defensive ratings this season, with West Virginia struggling on the road; simulation shows 55% cover rate despite neutral site.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 149.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with West Virginia allowing high opponent efficiency and Ohio State pushing pace; recent games for both exceed this total in 60% of matchups.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Ohio State / Moneyline / -155 / 62% / Buckeyes’ superior depth and recent form give them the edge, with simulation projecting a 62% win probability against a Mountaineers team vulnerable to turnover-forcing defenses.]

West Virginia vs Ohio State on 2025-12-13

Game Times

ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[35% / 65%]

💰 Money Distribution
[40% / 60%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Ohio State -4 and has ticked to -3.5 with balanced action, showing no significant sharp resistance as public leans Buckeyes.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Ohio State spread; implied probability undervalues their defensive efficiency against West Virginia’s poor 3P defense this season.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for West Virginia | 38% |
| Win % for Ohio State | 62% |
| Spread Cover % for West Virginia (+3.5) | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 149 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 18] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns closely with sharp money and line stability, supporting a follow on Ohio State given their stronger adjusted efficiency metrics and West Virginia’s turnover issues in neutral-site games. The matchup projects as moderately high-scoring, with both offenses capable of exploiting defensive lapses but Ohio State’s rebounding edge limiting second-chance opportunities for the Mountaineers. Overall, the data converges on value with the favorite without needing a contrarian fade.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Ohio State] — simulation and market consensus point to the highest probability of a Buckeyes victory and cover.

Highlights unavailable.