NCAAB
Western Illinois vs 
Southern Indiana
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 8:30 PM ET • 7:30 PM CT • 6:30 PM MT • 5:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 10:05 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Western Illinois Leathernecks / Spread / -3.5 at -115 / 56% / Home favorite shows alignment in public bets (51%) and money (56%), supporting cover with expected margin convergence.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -115 / 54% / Mid-major matchup trends toward lower totals despite slight public over lean; defensive efficiencies favor controlled pace.
💰 Best Bet #3 Western Illinois Leathernecks / Moneyline / -280 / 68% / Strong home-field edge and market consensus imply high win probability.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Western Illinois Leathernecks | 67% |
| Win % for Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | 33% |
| Spread Cover % for Western Illinois Leathernecks | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 141.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19.2, 27.3] |
🏀 Matchup: Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles on 2026-02-20
💸 Public Bets
[Western Illinois 51% / Southern Indiana 49%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Western Illinois 56% / Southern Indiana 44%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Western Illinois -3.5; simulation cover rate exceeds implied odds probability.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money percentages align slightly on the home favorite for the spread, indicating consensus without sharp divergence, making a follow play optimal absent RLM. Both teams in a lower-volume market suggest reliable modeling, with simulation projecting moderate scoring. Overall game outlook leans under based on total distribution and lack of high-efficiency offenses.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Western Illinois — data-backed edge on home spread.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.