Wichita State vs Rice

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-07 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 11:45 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Wichita State / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 60% / Wichita State holds a strong home advantage in the AAC, with superior adjusted efficiency ratings and recent form showing consistent coverages against similar opponents.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 141.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with offensive rebounding edges, leading to higher-scoring outputs in recent matchups; defensive metrics allow for 142+ points on average.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Wichita State / Moneyline / -450 / 72% / Simulation and metrics heavily favor the Shockers’ win probability, supported by home-court dominance and Rice’s road struggles.]

Wichita State vs Rice on 2026-01-07

Game Times

ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[68% / 32%]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -7.5 for Wichita State and moved to -8.5 amid balanced action, indicating slight sharp support for the favorite without major public overreaction.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Wichita State spread; implied probability undervalues home efficiency and simulation win rate, creating value despite alignment.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Wichita State | 72.5% |
| Win % for Rice | 27.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Wichita State | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 142.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 24.8] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Wichita State, as both percentages favor the home team without significant disparity, making following the favorite the optimal mathematical play. Contextual factors like home advantage and Rice’s weaker road defense support this without justifying a fade. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with offenses capable of pushing over based on rebounding and tempo metrics.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Wichita State / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.