Winthrop vs Charleston Southern

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-07 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 11:26 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Winthrop / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 62% / Winthrop’s strong home efficiency and Charleston Southern’s poor road defense create a clear edge, with simulation covering the spread more often than implied by odds.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 56% / Both teams’ recent tempos and defensive lapses in the current season suggest a higher-scoring affair, exceeding the line based on adjusted offensive ratings.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Winthrop / Moneyline / -320 / 71% / Winthrop’s superior adjusted efficiency and home advantage outweigh Charleston Southern’s underdog status, yielding positive EV on the favorite.]

Matchup: Winthrop vs Charleston Southern on 2026-01-07

Game Times
ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Winthrop 75% / Charleston Southern 25%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Winthrop 65% / Charleston Southern 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Winthrop -7 and moved to -7.5 amid steady public action on the favorite, with no significant reverse movement observed.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% EV on Winthrop spread / Simulation cover probability exceeds implied odds, supported by Winthrop’s adjusted defensive efficiency and Charleston Southern’s road struggles in the current season.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Winthrop | 71% |
| Win % for Charleston Southern | 29% |
| Spread Cover % for Winthrop | 62% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 56% / Under: 44% |
| Average Total Points | 148 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [+2, +12] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Winthrop, aligning with money distribution and lacking reverse line movement, indicating no sharp resistance to the favorite. Following the public aligns with mathematical edges here, as Winthrop’s home form and efficiency metrics support the consensus without overvaluation. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with both teams’ defenses allowing enough points for the over to hold value based on current season offensive efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Winthrop / No clear edge] — Winthrop’s probabilities dominate across simulations and market data.

Highlights unavailable.