Winthrop vs Radford

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:14 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Winthrop / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Winthrop’s strong home form and defensive efficiency give them an edge to cover, supported by recent trends in the Big South conference.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo offenses with average points per game above 75, suggesting a slight lean to the over based on pace and rebounding rates.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Winthrop / Moneyline / -250 / 62% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings position Winthrop as the clear favorite in this matchup.]

Winthrop vs Radford on 2026-01-21

Game Times

ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[55% / 45%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -4 and held steady, with minimal movement indicating consensus on Winthrop as favorite]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Winthrop spread, driven by simulation probabilities and home-field metrics outweighing public lean]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Winthrop | 62% |
| Win % for Radford | 38% |
| Spread Cover % for Winthrop | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 146.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-7.2, 11.5] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Winthrop, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections from efficiency ratings. Following the public on the home team optimizes EV in this scenario, as no significant reverse line movement suggests overvaluation. The game outlook points to a moderate-scoring affair, with both defenses capable of limiting explosive plays but offenses pushing toward the total line.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Winthrop] — the highest probability outcome based on home advantage and simulation data.

Highlights unavailable.