NCAAB

Wright State vs IU Indy

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:02 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Wright St / -10.5 at -110 / 55% / Public 55% bets and 60% money on dog IUPUI; sim 50% cover aligns with fade public edge in low-volume Horizon matchup

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 159.5 at -115 / 52% / Balanced public 50/50 bets but 54% money Over; sim avg 159.3 projects slight Under

💰 Best Bet #3 Wright St / Moneyline / -550 / 78% / Overwhelming public 90% bets/95% money on heavy home favorite with sim 78% win prob

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Wright St | 77.5% |
| Win % for IUPUI | 22.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Wright St | 50.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.2% / Under: 50.8% |
| Average Total Points | 159.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [10.2, 10.8] |

🏈 Matchup: Wright St Raiders vs IUPUI Jaguars on 2026-02-20
💸 Public Bets
[45% / 55%]
💰 Money Distribution
[40% / 60%]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
[N/A]
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Wright St -10.5; public/money disparity supports fade dog despite sim even cover]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money align heavily on IUPUI +10.5 (55%/60%), creating value to fade on Wright St spread as sim projects solid home edge with 77.5% win probability. Total leans Under per simulation average of 159.3 below line amid even public action. Overall low-scoring outlook based on line and sim, favoring disciplined contrarian play on home side.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on IUPUI — Wright St -10.5 holds mathematical edge.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.